April 17th, 2014 Monte Carlo

Last 16 players left in the tournament play their matches today. Four of that matches are adequate for our Handy strategy.

TSONGA Jo-Wilfried - FOGNINI Fabio

This is the first clay tournament for Tsonga and his performance last year was outstanding, 86% service games won, 25% receive games won. His opponent Fognini is the clay specialist and his score this year (75% service games won, 30% receive games won) is similar to the last year score 77% - 32%. When our Handy formula calculates, margin for this match is 0.011, so we bet Fognini +1.5 set handicap at Pinnacle for odds 1.313.

ROBREDO Tommy - RAONIC Milos

Robredo has better results this year in service games 83% won, than last year 78%, but he won 24% of receive games this year, less than last year when his score was 30%. This is the first clay tournament for Raonic this year, and last year his score was 90% - 17%. So, two great service game players are head to head and our Handy formula says that the margin is 0.020, and we bet Raonic +1.5 set handicap for odds 1.488 at Pinnacle.

WAWRINKA Stanislas - ALMAGRO Nicolas

Wawrinka has a monster service not only at hard surface but also at clay. His stats last year were 86% - 27%, and this is his first tournament at clay. Almagro, the clay specialist plays has a little bit lower stats this year (80% - 25%) than last year (85% - 28%) but he is still considered a strong opponent to favorite Wawrinka. Handy formula determines the margin of 0.013. Therefore, we bet Almagro + 1.5 set handicap at Pinnacle odds 2.020.

BERDYCH Tomas - GARCIA-LOPEZ Guillermo

Berdych doesn't play as well at clay as he play at hard surfaces. This is his first tournament of the year at clay, and his performance last year was 79% - 25%. Garcia-Lopez has improved his performance this year, 73% - 32%, against 69% - 27% last year. Using these data, our Handy formula calculated the margin 0.029 and we bet Garcia-Lopez for odds 2.380 at Pinnacle.

Other matches of the day:
0.188 Nadal - Seppi
0.154 Djokovic - Carreno Busta
0.083 Federer - Rosol
0.080 Ferrer - Dimitrov