Wednesday, 14 May 2014

May 15th, 2014 Rome

Today matches with handy formula margins:
0.010 Tsonga - Raonic
0.022 Dodig - Chardy
0.024 Dimitrov - Berdych
0.037 Murray - Melzer
0.048 Wawrinka - Haas
0.082 Ferrer - Gulbis
0.124 Djokovic - Kohlschreiber
0.196 Nadal - Youzhny

May 14th, 2014 Rome

Handy match:
0.032 Rosol - Dodig + 1.5 set handicap, Pinnacle odds 1.637

Other matches:
0.038 Tsonga - Anderson
0.053 Youzhny - Golubev
0.062 Granollers - Murray
0.084 Berdych - Tursunov
0.088 Haas - Sijsling
0.122 Federer - Chardy
0.140 Cilic - Melzer
0.151 Gulbis - Robert
0.168 Nadal - Simon
0.226 Dimitrov - Karlovic

Tuesday, 13 May 2014

Handy

Here are the trend graph of profit and ROI %, and the full list of matches since we started betting the handicap +1.5 set player. So far 196 matches have been played and our Handy formula had correctly predicted 140 matches, 71.4%, and that is equal to odds 1.400. Average odds of all matches are 1.569, so, the system is profitable until now, gives 9.1% return of an investment (ROI%). The ROI is quite stable, oscillating between 7.1% and 11.6%.

May 13th, 2014 Results

Cilic - Giraldo + 1.5 set, odds 1.407, final result 1:0, match abandoned, bet void, 0 unit
Robredo - Kohlschreiber + 1.5 set, odds 1.641, final result 0:2, bet won, + 0.641 unit


Total today + 0.641 unit

May 13th, 2014 Rome

Handy matches today:
0.019 Cilic - Giraldo + 1.5 set handicap, Pinnacle odds 1.407
0.032 Robredo - Kohlschreiber + 1.5 set handicap, Pinnacle odds 1.641

Other matches:
0.059 Haas - Seppi
0.084 Bautista Agut - Tursunov
0.091 Verdasco - Golubev
0.105 Sijsling - Cecchinato
0.110 Raonic - Bolelli
0.135 Gulbis - Falla
0.163 Ferrer - Kukushkin
0.164 Anderson - Pospisil
0.200 Djokovic - Stepanek
0.338 Wawrinka - Riba

Monday, 12 May 2014

May 12th, 2014 Results

Fognini - Rosol + 1.5 set, odds 2.060, final result 0:2, bet won, + 1.060 unit
Robert - Gonzalez + 1.5 set, odds 1.274, final result 2:1, bet won, + 0.274 unit
Granollers - Lopez + 1.5 set, odds 1.395, final result 2:0, bet lost, -1 unit


Total today + 0.334 unit

May 12th, 2014 Rome

Handy matches today:
0.020 Fognini - Rosol + 1.5 set handicap, Pinnacle odds 2.060
0.023 Robert - Gonzalez + 1.5 set handicap, Pinnacle odds 1.274
0.023 Granollers - Lopez  + 1.5 set handicap, Pinnacle odds 1.395

Other matches:
0.044 Delbonis - Dodig
0.055 Simon - Volandri
0.059 Dimitrov - Roger Vasselin
0.063 Tsonga - Dolgopolov
0.093 Carreno Busta - Karlovic
0.130 Youzhny - Mahut
0.213 Lorenzi - Riba
0.xxx Bolelli - Travaglia

Sunday, 11 May 2014

May 11th, 2014 Results

Robredo - Monaco + 1.5 set, odds 1.800, final result 2:0, bet lost, -1 unit
Sousa - Kukushkin + 1.5 set, odds 1.444, final result 1:2, bet won, + 0.444 unit
Nadal - Nishikori + 1.5 set, odds 2.850, final result 1:1, bet void, 0 unit
Haase - Chardy + 1.5 set, odds 1.377, final result 0:2, bet won, + 0.377 unit


Total today - 0.179 unit
Handy matches today:
0.005 Robredo - Monaco + 1.5 set handicap, Pinnacle odds 1.800
0.006 Sousa - Kukushkin + 1.5 set handicap, Pinnacle odds 1.444
0.024 Nadal - Nishikori + 1.5 set handicap, Pinnacle odds 2.850
0.032 Haase - Chardy + 1.5 set handicap, Pinnacle odds 1.377

Other matches:
0.058 Kohlschreiber - Janowicz
0.083 Andujar - Stepanek
0.128 Isner - Melzer

Saturday, 10 May 2014

May 10th, 2014 Result

Nishikori - Ferrer + 1.5 set, odds 1.198, final result 2:1, bet won, + 0.198

May 10th, 2014 Madrid

Handy match today:
0.023 Nishikori - Ferrer + 1.5 set handicap, Pinnacle odds 1.198

Other match:
0.122 Nadal - Bautista Agut

Friday, 9 May 2014

May 9th, 2014 Results

Bautista Agut - Giraldo + 1.5 set, odds 1.440, final result 2:0, - 1 unit

May 9th, 2014 Madrid

Handy match today:
0.032 Bautista Agut - Giraldo + 1.5 set handicap, Pinnacle odds 1.440

Other matches:
0.093 Ferrer - Gulbis
0.138 Nadal - Berdych
0.183 Nishikori - Lopez

Thursday, 8 May 2014

May 8th, 2014 Results

Gulbis - Cilic + 1.5 set, odds 1.530, final result 2:0, - 1 unit
Dimitrov - Berdych + 1.5 set, odds 1.260, final result 1:2, + 0.260 unit


Total today - 0.740 unit

May 8th, 2014 Madrid

Handy matches today:
0.000 Gulbis - Cilic + 1.5 set handicap, Pinnacle odds 1.530
0.030 Dimitrov - Berdych + 1.5 set handicap, Pinnacle odds 1.260

Other matches:
0.060 Thiem - Lopez
0.068 Giraldo - Murray
0.112 Nishikori - Raonic
0.121 Ferrer - Isner
0.123 Bautista Agut - Kubot
0.232 Nadal - Nieminen

Wednesday, 7 May 2014

May 7th, 2014 Results

Berdych - Anderson +1.5 set, odds 2.270, final result 2:0, bet lost, -1 unit
Youzhny - Lopez + 1.5 set, odds 1.518, final result 1:2, bet won, + 0.518 unit
Sijsling - Nieminen + 1.5 set, odds 1.303, final result 0:2, bet won + 0.303 unit
Gulbis - Dolgopolov + 1.5 set, odds 1.328, final result 2:0, bet lost, - 1 unit


Total today - 1.179 unit

May 7th, 2014 Madrid

Handy matches today:
0.002 Berdych - Anderson + 1.5 set handicap, Pinnacle odds 2.270
0.014 Youzhny - Lopez + 1.5 set handicap, Pinnacle odds 1.518
0.022 Sijsling - Nieminen + 1.5 set handicap, Pinnacle odds 1.303
0.030 Gulbis - Dolgopolov +1.5 set handicap, Pinnacle odds 1.328

Other matches:
0.063 Tsonga - Giraldo
0.091 Simon - Kubot
0.103 Cilic - Mathieu
0.122 Nadal - Monaco
0.130 Isner - Matosevic
0.134 Almagro - Murray
0.209 Dimitrov - Copil

Tuesday, 6 May 2014

May 6th, 2014 Results

Bautista Agut - Verdasco + 1.5 set, odds 1.303, final result 2:1, bet won, + 0.303 unit

May 6th, 2014 Madrid

Today handy match:
0.017 Bautista Agut - Verdasco + 1.5 set handicap, Pinnacle odds 1.303

Other matches today:
0.052 Fognini - Dolgopolov
0.054 Gulbis - Janowicz
0.074 Wawrinka - Thiem
0.077 Raonic - Chardy
0.096 Cilic - Sousa
0.098 Ferrer - Ramos
0.101 Haas - Sijsling
0.104 Anderson - Stepanek
0.134 Nishikori - Garcia Lopez
0.136 Almagro - Golubev
0.136 Monaco - Melzer

Monday, 5 May 2014

May 5th, 2014 Results

Simon - Paire + 1.5 set, odds 1.610, match cancelled, bet void, 0 unit

May 5th, 2014 Madrid

Today handy match:
0.005 Simon - Paire + 1.5 set handicap, Pinnacle odds 1.610

Other matches today:
0.035 Verdasco - Seppi
0.060 Isner - Gabashvili
0.061 Tsonga - Roger Vasselin
0.067 Thiem - Tursunov
0.074 Haase - Nieminen
0.079 Delbonis - Lopez
0.110 Dimitrov - Carreno Busta
0.125 Giraldo - Hewitt
0.129 Granollers - Copil
0.134 Kohlschreiber - Matosevic
0.140 Youzhny - Becker
0.140 Nishikori - Dodig
0.146 Ramos - Mahut

Sunday, 4 May 2014

May 4th, 2014 Results

Robredo - Bautista Agut + 1.5 set, odds 1.590, final result 0:2, bet won, + 0.590 unit
Berlocq - Berdych + 1.5 set, odds 1.095, final result 2:1, bet won, + 0.095 unit
Andujar - Garcia Lopez + 1.5 set, odds 1.510, final result 1:2, bet won, + 0.510 unit


Total of today + 1.195 unit

May 4th, 2014 Madrid

I missed to note today's matches of the new tournament, Madrid. So, these matches have to be added to final matches of Munich and Oeiras.

Madrid handy matches today:
0.011 Robredo - Bautista Agut + 1.5 set handicap, Pinnacle odds 1.590
0.020 Andujar - Garcia Lopez + 1.5 set handicap, Pinnacle odds 1.510

Madrid other match today:
0.056 Rosol - Chardy
Handy match today:
0.019 Berlocq - Berdych + 1.5 set handicap, Pinnacle odds 1.095

Other match today:
0.038 Fognini - Klizan

Saturday, 3 May 2014

May 3rd, 2014 Results

Hanescu - Berdych + 1.5 set, odds 1.083, final result 0:2, bet won, + 0.083 unit
Handy matches today:
0.002 Hanescu - Berdych, Pinnacle odds 1.083

Other matches:
0.046 Berlocq - Gimeno Traver
0.056 Haas - Klizan
0.090 Fognini - Struff

Friday, 2 May 2014

May 2nd, 2014 Results

Raonic - Berlocq + 1.5 set, odds 1.926, final result 0:2, + 0.926 unit
Granollers - Gimeno Traver + 1.5 set, odds 1.513, final result 0:2, + 0.513 unit


Total of the day +  1.439 unit
Handy matches today:
0.011 Raonic - Berlocq + 1.5 set handicap, Pinnacle odds 1.926
0.022 Granollers - Gimeno Traver + 1.5 set handicap, Pinnacle odds 1.513

Other matches:
0.058 Klizan - Istomin
0.064 Berdych - Mayer
0.067 Berankis - Struff
0.076 Fognini - Bellucci
0.082 Haas - Seppi
0.086 Hanescu - Elias

Wednesday, 30 April 2014

Handy matches today:
none

Other matches:
0.040 Fognini - Brown
0.043 Ramos - Seppi
0.044 Mayer - Golubev
0.059 Hanescu - Carreno Busta
0.060 Garcia Lopez - Elias
0.087 Delbonis - Bellucci
0.104 Raonic - Cuevas
0.140 Berlocq - Kubot
0.176 Berdych - Devvarman
0.261 Haas - Falla

April 30th, 2014 Results

Klizan - Youzhny + 1.5 set, odds 1.602, final result 2:1, bet won, + 0.602 unit
Stakhovsky - Struff + 1.5 set, odds 1.204, final result 0:2, bet won, + 0.204 unit
Volandri - Elias + 1.5 set, odds 1.263, final result 0:2, bet won, + 0.263 unit
Granollers - Montanes + 1.5 set, 1.290, final result 2:1, bet won, + 0.290 unit


Total of the day + 1.359 unit
Handy matches today:
0.002 Klizan - Youzhny + 1.5 set handicap, Pinnacle odds 1.602
0.007 Stakhovsky - Struff + 1.5 set handicap, Pinnacle odds 1.204
0.012 Volandri - Elias + 1.5 set handicap, Pinnacle odds 1.263
0.016 Granollers - Montanes + 1.5 set handicap, Pinnacle odds 1.290

Other matches:
0.051 Istomin - Matosevic
0.157 Berankis - Melzer
0.200 Gimeno Traver - Machado

April 29th, 2014 Results

Giraldo - Montanes + 1.5 set, odds 1.356, match cancelled, bet void, 0 unit
Mayer - Sousa + 1.5 set, odds 1.278, final result 2:1, bet won, + 0.278 unit


Total of the day + 0.278 unit

Tuesday, 29 April 2014

Today Handy matches:
0.013 Giraldo - Montanes + 1.5 set handicap, Pinnacle odds 1.366
0.020 Mayer - Sousa + 1.5 set handicap, Pinnacle odds 1.278

Other matches:
0.035 Lopez - Struff
0.050 Dodig - Bellucci
0.052 Nedovyesov - Cuevas
0.080 Berrer - Seppi
0.082 Gabashvili - Kubot
0.093 Kohlschreiber - Istomin
0.097 Ramos - Hewitt
0.102 Gimeno Traver - Gonzalez
0.103 Berlocq - Daniel
0.191 Tursunov - Machado
0.202 Devvarman - Ebden
0.241 Klizan - Sela
0.278 Melzer - Zverev
0.xxx Stakhovsky - Gojowczyk
0.xxx Hanescu - Albot

Monday, 28 April 2014

April 28th, 2014 Results

Kukushkin - Carreno Busta + 1.5 set, odds 1.213, final result 0:2, bet won, + 0.213 unit
Golubev - Mannarino + 1.5 set, odds 1.962, final result 2:1, bet won, + 0.962 unit
Przysiezny - Matosevic  + 1.5 set, odds 1.222, final result 1:0 Przysiezny resigned, bet void, + 0 unit

Total of the day  + 1.175 unit

April 28th, 2014 Correction

Since for my Handy formula use some data that ATP publishes on Mondays, some data were obsolete, not updated until morning, so some calculation results were wrong. Most of the data were published this evening (but still not all) and I made recalculations for today matches. Some differences are insignificant, but some are decisive, like in the Handy match of the day, where favorite changed. Here are the updated pairs for today:

Handy matches today:
0.003 Kukushkin - Carreno Busta  + 1.5 set handicap, Pinnacle odds 1.213
0.029 Carreno Busta - Kukushkin + 1.5 set handicap, Pinnacle odds 1.741
0.005 Golubev - Mannarino + 1.5 set handicap, Pinnacle odds 1.962
0.015 Przysiezny - Matosevic  + 1.5 set handicap, Pinnacle odds 1.222

Other matches:
0.042 Przysiezny - Matosevic, has became the Handy match
0.079 Delbonis - Davydenko
0.076 Delbonis - Davydenko
0.149 Nieminen - Falla
0.153 Nieminen - Falla
0.226 Mannarino - Golubev, has became the Handy match
0.247 Brown - Karlovic, unchanged
Handy matches today:
0.029 Carreno Busta - Kukushkin + 1.5 set handicap, Pinnacle odds 1.741

Other matches:
0.042 Przysiezny - Matosevic
0.076 Delbonis - Davidenko
0.153 Nieminen - Falla
0.226 Mannarino - Golubev
0.247 Brown - Karlovic

Sunday, 27 April 2014

April 27th, 2014 Results

Dimitrov - Rosol + 1.5 set, odds 2.020, final result 2:0, bet lost, -1 unit
Handy matches today:
0.032 Dimitrov - Rosol + 1.5 set handicap, Pinnacle odds 2.020

Other matches:
0.100 Nishikori - Giraldo

Saturday, 26 April 2014

April 26th, 2014 Results

Rosol - Haase + 1.5 set, odds 1.532, final result 2:1, bet won, + 0.532 unit
Dimitrov - Monfils + 1.5 set, odds 1.508, match cancelled, bet void, 0 unit
Handy matches today:
0.006 Dimitrov - Monfils + 1.5 set handicap, Pinnacle odds 1.508
0.018 Rosol - Haase + 1.5 set handicap, Pinnacle odds 1.532

Other matches:
0.069 Nishikori - Gulbis
0.094 Almagro - Giraldo

Friday, 25 April 2014

April 25th, 2014 Results

Rosol - Simon + 1.5 set, odds 1.461, final result 2:0, bet lost, -1 unit

Thursday, 24 April 2014

Handy match of the day:
0.012 Rosol - Simon + 1.5 set handicap, Pinnacle odds 1.461

Other matches:
0.042 Kohlschreiber - Giraldo
0.044 Nishikori - Cilic
0.058 Haase - Istomin
0.113 Nadal - Almagro
0.129 Dimitrov - Stakhovsky
0.168 Monfils - Mathieu
0.366 Gulbis - Gabashvili

April 24th, 2014 Results

Youzhny - Haase + 1.5 set, odds 1.671, final result 0:2, bet won, + 0.671 unit
Robredo - Cilic + 1.5 set, odds 1.505, final result 1:2, bet won, + 0.505 unit
Gulbis - Montanes + 1.5 set, odds 1.752, final result 2:0, bet lost, - 1 unit
Thiem - Giraldo + 1.5 set, odds 1.400, final result 1:2, bet won, + 0.400 unit
Monfils - Berankis + 1.5 set. odds 2.310, final result 2:0, bet lost, -1 unit

Total of the day - 0.424 unit
Handy matches today:
0.004 Youzhny - Haase + 1.5 set handicap, Pinnacle odds 1.671
0.013 Robredo - Cilic + 1.5 set handicap, Pinnacle odds 1.505
0.017 Gulbis - Montanes + 1.5 set handicap, Pinnacle odds 1.752
0.020 Thiem - Giraldo + 1.5 set handicap, Pinnacle odds 1.400
0.021 Monfils - Berankis + 1.5 set handicap, Pinnacle odds 2.310

Other matches:
0.053 Almagro - Verdasco
0.138 Mathieu - Copil
0.187 Nadal - Dodig
0.212 Kohlschreiber - Melzer
0.240 Istomin - Ungur
0.351 Nishikori - Golubev
0.444 Gabashvili - Cervantes

Wednesday, 23 April 2014

April 23rd, 2014 Results

Dolgopolov - Montanes + 1.5 set, odds 1.787, final result 0:2, bet won, + 0.787 unit
Dodig - Lopez + 1.5 set, odds 1.250, final result 2:0, bet lost, - 1 unit
Hanescu - Simon + 1.5 set, odds 1.294, final result 1:2, bet won, + 0.294 unit

Total of the day + 0.081 unit
Handy matches today
0.004 Dolgopolov - Montanes + 1.5 set handicap, Pinnacle odds 1.787
0.009 Dodig - Lopez + 1.5 set handicap, Pinnacle odds 1.250
0.012 Hanescu - Simon + 1.5 set handicap, Pinnacle odds 1.294

Other matches
0.060 Rosol - Nieminen
0.080 Almagro - Klizan
0.103 Dimitrov - Vesely
0.110 Cilic - Kuznetsov
0.116 Berlocq - Stakhovsky
0.135 Verdasco - De Schepper
0.166 Nadal - Ramos
0.173 Janowicz - Melzer
0.437 Ferrer - Gabashvili

Tuesday, 22 April 2014

April 22nd, 2014 Results

Granollers - Thiem + 1.5 sets, odds 1.535, final result 1:2, bet won, + 0.535 unit
Bellucci - Istomin + 1.5 sets, odds 1.862, final result 0:2, bet won, + 0.862 unit
Kohlschreiber - Roger Vasselin + 1.5 sets, odds 1.752, final result 2:0, bet lost, -1 unit
Gulbis - Gimeno Traver + 1.5 sets, odds 2.110, final result 2:0, bet lost, -1 unit

Total of the day - 0.603 unit
Handy matches today
0.010 Granollers - Thiem + 1.5 set handicap, Pinnacle odds 1.535
0.015 Bellucci - Istomin + 1.5 set handicap, Pinnacle odds 1.862
0.023 Kohlschreiber - Roger Vasselin + 1.5 set handicap, Pinnacle odds 1.752
0.033 Gulbis - Gimeno Traver + 1.5 set handicap, Pinnacle odds 2.110

Other matches
0.044 Ramos - Davydenko
0.047 Nishikori - Bautista Agut
0.058 Berlocq - Seppi
0.061 Rosol - Volandri
0.073 Mahut - Mathieu
0.086 Kukushkin - Melzer
0.136 Klizan - Devvarman
0.163 Robredo - Matosevic
0.209 Mannarino - Copil
0.221 Pospisil - Ungur
0.298 Dodig - Arguello
0.531 Haase - Ebden
0.xxx Tursunov - Cervantes
0.xxx Hanescu - Sela
0.xxx Berankis - Basilashvili

Monday, 21 April 2014

April 21st, 2014 Results

Viola - Golubev + 1.5 sets, odds 1.238, final result 0:2, bet won, +0.238 unit
Giraldo - Sijsling + 1.5 sets, odds 1.943, final result 2:0, bet lost, -1 unit
Nieminen - Mayer + 1.5 sets, odds 1.592, final result 2:1, bet won, +0.592 unit
Carreno Busta - Kuznetsov + 1.5 sets, odds 1.909, final result 1:2, bet won, +0.909 unit
Carballes Baena - Gimeno Traver + 1.5 sets, odds 1.377, final result 0:2, bet won, +0.377 unit

Total of the day + 1.116 units
Handy matches today:
0.011 Viola - Golubev + 1.5 set handicap, Pinnacle odds 1.238
0.014 Giraldo - Sijsling + 1.5 set handicap, Pinnacle odds 1.943
0.014 Nieminen - Mayer + 1.5 set handicap, Pinnacle odds 1.592
0.025 Carreno Busta - Kuznetsov + 1.5 set handicap, Pinnacle odds 1.909
0.027 Carballes Baena - Gimeno Traver + 1.5 set handicap, Pinnacle odds 1.377

Other matches:
0.057 Chardy - Vesely
0.066 Sousa - Matosevic
0.094 Bautista Agut - Kubot
0.114 Thiem - Stepanek
0.163 Roger Vasselin - Beck
0.178 Montanes - Lopez
0.281 Przysiezny - Gabashvili
0.xxx Stakhovsky - Ciorcila
0.xxx Nedovyesov - Cervantes
0.xxx De Scheper - Ilhan

Sunday, 20 April 2014

April 20th, 2014 Results

Federer - Wawrinka + 1.5 sets, odds 1.448, final result 1:2, bet won, +0.448 units

Saturday, 19 April 2014

The final match of Monte Carlo tournament gives us the Handy match.

FEDERER Roger - WAWRINKA Stanislas
This is the first clay tournament for both players. Last year Federer won 84% of games served and 28% of receive games. Wawrinka has a monster service not only at hard surface but also at clay. His stats last year were 86% - 27%. Handy formula determines the margin of 0.008. Therefore, we bet Wawrinka + 1.5 set handicap at Pinnacle odds 1.448.

Friday, 18 April 2014

Tournament has reached the semifinals, but neither of matches are eligible for Handy bet. The matches are:
0.050 Ferrer - Wawrinka
0.043 Djokovic - Federer

April 18th, 2014 Results

Federer - Tsonga + 1.5 sets, odds 2.150, final result 2:1, bet won, + 1.150 units

Thursday, 17 April 2014

Quarterfinals on schedule today and one match is good for handicapping.

FEDERER Roger - TSONGA Jo-Wilfried
This is the first clay tournament for both players. Last year Federer won 84% of games served and 28% of receive games. Tsonga's performance last year was 86% service games won, 25% receive games won. So, two similar players are head to head and our Handy formula determines the margin of 0.011, so we bet Tsonga + 1.5 set handicap at Pinnacle for odds 2.150.

Other matches of the day:
0.121 Djokovic - Garcia Lopez
0.059 Wawrinka - Raonic
0.045 Nadal - Ferrer

April 17th, 2014 Results

Tsonga - Fognini + 1.5 sets, odds 1.313, final result 2:1, bet won, +0.313 units
Robredo - Raonic + 1.5 sets, odds 1.488, final result 0:2, bet won, +0.488 units
Wawrinka - Almagro +1.5 sets, odds 2.020, match cancelled, bet void, 0 units
Berdych - Garcia Lopez +1.5 sets, odds 2.380, final result 1:2, bet won, +1.380 units

Total of the day + 2.181 units

Wednesday, 16 April 2014

Last 16 players left in the tournament play their matches today. Four of that matches are adequate for our Handy strategy.

TSONGA Jo-Wilfried - FOGNINI Fabio
This is the first clay tournament for Tsonga and his performance last year was outstanding, 86% service games won, 25% receive games won. His opponent Fognini is the clay specialist and his score this year (75% service games won, 30% receive games won) is similar to the last year score 77% - 32%. When our Handy formula calculates, margin for this match is 0.011, so we bet Fognini +1.5 set handicap at Pinnacle for odds 1.313.

ROBREDO Tommy - RAONIC Milos
Robredo has better results this year in service games 83% won, than last year 78%, but he won 24% of receive games this year, less than last year when his score was 30%. This is the first clay tournament for Raonic this year, and last year his score was 90% - 17%. So, two great service game players are head to head and our Handy formula says that the margin is 0.020, and we bet Raonic +1.5 set handicap for odds 1.488 at Pinnacle.

WAWRINKA Stanislas - ALMAGRO Nicolas
Wawrinka has a monster service not only at hard surface but also at clay. His stats last year were 86% - 27%, and this is his first tournament at clay. Almagro, the clay specialist plays has a little bit lower stats this year (80% - 25%) than last year (85% - 28%) but he is still considered a strong opponent to favorite Wawrinka. Handy formula determines the margin of 0.013. Therefore, we bet Almagro + 1.5 set handicap at Pinnacle odds 2.020.

BERDYCH Tomas - GARCIA-LOPEZ Guillermo
Berdych doesn't play as well at clay as he play at hard surfaces. This is his first tournament of the year at clay, and his performance last year was 79% - 25%. Garcia-Lopez has improved his performance this year, 73% - 32%, against 69% - 27% last year. Using these data, our Handy formula calculated the margin 0.029 and we bet Garcia-Lopez for odds 2.380 at Pinnacle.

Other matches of the day:
0.188 Nadal - Seppi
0.154 Djokovic - Carreno Busta
0.083 Federer - Rosol
0.080 Ferrer - Dimitrov

April 16th, 2014 Results

Fognini - Bautista Agut +1.5 sets, odds 1.680, final result 2:0, bet lost, -1 unit
Llodra - Rosol +1.5 sets, odds 1.417, final result 0:2, bet won, +0.417 unit
Dimitrov - Ramos +1.5 sets, odds 2.190, final result 2:1, bet won, +1.190 unit
Wawrinka - Cilic +1.5 sets, odds 1.676, final result 2:0, bet lost, -1 unit
Dolgopolov - Garcia Lopez +1.5 sets, odds 2.130, final result 0:2, bet won, +1.130 unit

Total of the day + 0.737 unit

Tuesday, 15 April 2014

Here comes another day with a lot of handicap matches, 12 matches at the schedule, 5 of them are Handy matches. Here they are, followed with other 7 matches, just to show calculated margins for other matches.

FOGNINI Fabio - BAUTISTA AGUT Roberto
Fognini is the clay specialist and his score this year (75% service games won, 30% receive games won) is similar to the last year score 77% - 32%. His opponent plays his first clay tournament this year and his score last year was 72% - 32%. Our Handy formula says that Bautista Agut could be a tough opponent to Fognini's service, giving the margin of 0.031 which is almost on the borderline of acceptance for handicap betting. So, we bet Bautista Agut handicap +1.5 set at Pinnacle odds 1.680.

LLODRA Michael - ROSOL Lukas
Llodra hasn't played many games at the clay last year, just 40 serve games with 80% won, and 38 receive games with 24% won. This is the first tournament of the year at this surface for both players. Rosol had similar stats last year, 82% - 20%. The handy formula says that this is the tight match with just 0.002 margin, so we bet Rosol handicap +1.5 set at Pinnacle odds 1.417.


DIMITROV Grigor - RAMOS Albert
Dimitrov plays his first clay tournament this year, and his stats last year were 80% - 28%. Ramos plays better at clay surface than last year. His score this year is 78% - 31%, and last year he had 77% - 24%, so he significantly improved his receiving game abilities. Exactly because of this fact, he will be tough opponent to beat in straight sets for Dimitrov. Handy formula gives advantage to Dimitrov for 0.032 points, so we bet Ramos at odds 2.190 in Pinnacle.

WAWRINKA Stanislas - CILIC Marin
Wawrinka has a monster service not only at hard surface but also at clay. His stats last year were 86% - 27%, but he hasn't played any match this year at clay. Neither Cilic played any tournament at clay until this one, and his last year stats are 80% - 29%. With that stats, our Handy formula gives Wawrinka the winning margin of 0.031 points, so we bet Cilic handicap +1.5 set odds 1.676 offered by Pinnacle.

DOLGOPOLOV Alexandr - GARCIA-LOPEZ Guillermo
Dolgopolov's stats at clay last year weren't much, just 75%-19%, but his performance this year shows large improvements achieving 86% - 25%. But, over the net, there is another player whose performance has also improved this year, 73% - 32%, against 69% - 27% last year. Saying all that, Handy formula estimates that Dolgopolov is the favorite of this match with the margin of 0.018. Pinnacle offers odds 2.130 for Garcia-Lopez's handicap +1.5 set win and we bet it.

Other matches of the day with winning margin calculated by our Handy formula:
0.509 Nadal - Gabashvili
0.363 Almagro - Mahut
0.150 Federer - Stepanek
0.137 Raonic - Lu
0.127 Robredo - Benneteau
0.083 Monfils - Carreno Busta
0.042 Andujar - Seppi
Llodra - Janowicz +1.5 sets, odds 1.308, final result 2:0, bet lost, -1 unit
Youzhny - Seppi +1.5 sets, odds 1.324, final result 0:2, bet won, +0.324 units
Dimitrov - Granollers +1.5 sets, odds 1.840, final result 2:1, bet won, +0.840 units
Monfils - Anderson +1.5 sets, odds 1.645, final result 2:0, bet lost, -1 unit
Cilic - Verdasco +1.5 sets, odds 1.658, match cancelled, bet void, 0 units
Berdych - Tursunov +1.5 sets, odds 3.480, final result 2:0, bet lost - 1 unit

Monday, 14 April 2014

Today is the Handy fest. Out of 15 matches, 6 are eligible for our Handy strategy. Let's elaborate those matches.

LLODRA Michael - JANOWICZ Jerzy
Llodra hasn't played many games at the clay last year, just 40 serve games with 80% won, and 38 receive games with 24% won. This is the first match of the year at this surface for both players. Janowicz's performance last year was quite good in service games, won 85%, and not so good in receive games, won just 15%. Feeding our Handy formula with these data, Llodra is the tiny favorite by 0.017, so we bet on Janowicz's handicap +1.5 sets. Pinnacle gives odds 1.308 for that outcome.

YOUZHNY Mikhail - SEPPI Andreas
Neither of these two players have played any game at the clay surface this year. Youzhny won 75% of his service games last year, and won 26% of receive games. Seppi's success in his service game was lower 70%, but the receive game winnings was better, 29%. Putting it all together, our Handy formula says that Youzhny is the favorite with margin of 0.016, so Seppi is decent handicap + 1.5 sets candidate, with odds 1.324 at Pinnacle.

DIMITROV Grigor - GRANOLLERS Marcel
This is the first match for Dimitrov this year at this surface. Last year he won 80% of his service games, and won 28% of his receive games. Opposite to him there is Granollers who already played more than 100 games this year with score 75% - 28%, and his last year score was 74% - 30%. That makes him a strong opponent to Dimitrov, and our Handy formula says that there is a margin of 0.030, and we bet the Granollers +1.5 set, at the Pinnacle odds 1.84.

MONFILS Gael - ANDERSON Kevin
The hand formula says that this is a very tight game with the margin of 0.004, giving Monfils the favourite title. We'll bet Pinnacle odds 1.645 for Anderson +1.5 set. Monfils hasn't played any clay match this year, and he scored 78% - 29% last year. Anderson played well his 10 service games this year 80%, but badly his 10 receive games 0% won, but his score from last year (84% - 24%) give him a merit to be a strong opponent to Monfils.

CILIC Marin - VERDASCO Fernando
Cilic is the favorite, but the clay specialist is across the net. Verdasco plays much better than last year at clay, scoring 87% - 33%, last year 79% - 23%. Cilic hasn't played yet this year at clay, but his last year score 80% - 29% give him the favorite role as the result of our Handy formula calculation. The margin is 0.029, and we bet Verdasco +1.5 set at Pinnacle odds 1.658.

BERDYCH Thomas - TURSUNOV Dmitry
Berdych is the absolute favourite of the game based on overall performance, but his favorite margin isn't as large as someone could expect. Our Handy formula gives the result of 0.031. The reason for this is that Berdych doesn't play as well at clay as he play at hard surfaces. This is his first match of the year at clay, and his performance last year was 79% - 25%. Against him, he has Tursunov who won his first match of the year two days ago, and his score last year was 76% - 24%. So, expectation is that Berdych won't win easily 2:0, Tursunov will take at least one set, so we bet Tursunov handicap set +1.5 set win at Pinnacle for amazing odds of 3.480.
Paire - Montanes +1.5 sets, 1.377, final result 1:2, bet won, +0.377 units
Andujar - Roger Vasselin +1.5 sets, 1.498, final result 2:1, bet won, +0.498 units
Among nine matches on schedule, two of them can be treated as available for the Handy strategy. The matches are:

PAIRE Benoit - MONTANES Albert
Paire's performance on clay this year (75% won serve games - 25% won receive games) is quite simmilar to last year stats (75% - 27%). Montanes plays better his serve games winning 80% of them this year (77% last year), but his winning performance in receive games is worse 21% (24% last year). Combining these data in our Handy formula gives Paire margin of 0.007 which is quite enough for betting Montanes for the handicap +1.5 sets. Pinnacle gives odds of 1.377.

ANDUJAR Pablo - ROGER VASSELIN Edouard
Haase, who prefers the clay surface wins 82% of his serve games this year (76% last year) and 39% of his receive games (25% last year) and shows great improvement in his play. On the other hand Roger Vasselin hasn't played any game this year at the clay, and his performance last year was 77%-24%. Using our Handy formula Andujar is the game favorite with a  margin of 0.030 which is close to the decision to bet or not to bet the handicap. Anyway, the margin is still good, so we bet Roger Vasselin for the handicap 1.5 sets at Pinnacle which gives odds 1.498.

Sunday, 13 April 2014

Gulbis - Dolgopolov +1.5 sets, 1.400, final result 0:2, bet won, +0.40 units
Haase - Tursunov +1.5 sets, 1.630, final result 1:2, bet won, +0.63 units
Chardy - Sijsling +1.5 sets, 2.100, final result 2:1, bet won, +1.10 units
Today, Monte Carlo Rolex Masters is starting up, with 56 players competing for the €2.884.675.

Among four matches on schedule, three of them can be treated as available for the Handy strategy. The matches are:


GULBIS Ernests - DOLGOPOLOV Alexandr
Gulbis hasn't played any match at the clay this year. He also didn't play a lot of games last year, with the score of 78% won serve games and 27% won receive games. On the other hand Dolgopolov, who has slightly worse stats from the last year 75% - 19%, has played this year mathches well, and his stats in 2014 are 86% - 25%. Combining these data in our Handy formula gives Gulbis margin of 0.021 which is quite enough for betting Dolgopolov for the handicap +1.5 sets. Pinnacle gives odds of 1.400.

HAASE Robin - TURSUNOV Dimitry
Haase, who prefers the clay surface is quite close in 2014 stats 77% - 18% to the last year stats 81% - 22%. On the other hand, Tursunov hasn't played a single game this year, but from his last year stats 76% - 24%, he will be a tough opponent for the Haase serve, especially when Haase doesn't serve well as last year. Using our Handy formula Haase is the game favorite but with a tiny margin of 0.018. Therefore, we bet Tursunov for the handicap 1.5 sets at Pinnacle which gives odds 1.630.

CHARDY Jeremy - SIJSLING Igor
Chardy has improved his return this year to 24% (last year 19%), but he doesn't win his service games like last year, this year 78%, last year 81%. Sijsling has played just 9 service games and 9 receive games this year, so his stats aren't determined yet (56% - 11%). Last year his performance stats were 75% - 25%. Using our Handy formula Chardy is the game favorite but with a tiny margin of 0.026. Therefore, we bet Sijsling for the handicap 1.5 sets at Pinnacle which gives outstanding odds 2.100.